中国历年通货膨胀率

[Livid]

数据来自世界银行。

http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_defl_kd_zg&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:CHN&tstart=-283996800000&tunit=Y&tlen=48&hl=en&dl=en&uniSize=0.035&iconSize=0.5

[Livid]

中国，德国，美国，日本在过去十年的通胀率：

http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_defl_kd_zg&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:CHN:USA:JPN:DEU&tstart=946684800000&tunit=Y&tlen=9&hl=en&dl=en&uniSize=0.035&iconSize=0.5

[Livid]

2000 年之后中国的平均通胀率似乎在 3% 左右。不过这个数字对未来十年是否有指导意义，大家怎么看呢？

[LeiWeimu]

On average over the last 200 years, real GDP growth rate of the U.S. approximately equals 3% per year. However, compared with other countries, the inflation rate of China is more inconsistent shown on the graph. Probably the more steady and anticipated inflation rate is better, at least, for financing system.

[itommy]

通货膨胀率这个东西好像没有什么指导意义的，都是正在发生的政策阿时间阿，影响未来的inflation rate.
我能想到inflation可能对未来的一个影响就是，国家如果不控制好inflation，一旦inflation过了一个tipping point，就很难调整回来除非采取一些比较radical的policy.
像venezuela 9x年的100％的hyperinflation，还有越南最近的 1x% - 2x% 的inflation

[LeiWeimu]

@itommy Right, hyperinflation is undeniably unwanted. Inflation is an usual monetary and political phenomenon. I think the point for the inflation rate is whether it is low, stable, and predictable.